Publications

Thiery W., Lange S., Rogelj J., Schleussner C-F., Gudmundsson L., Seneviratne S.I., Andrijevic M., Frieler K., Emanuel K., Geiger T., Bresch D., Zhao F., Willner S.N., Büchner M., Volkholz V., Bauer N., Chang J., Ciais P., Dury M., François L., Grillakis M., Gosling S.N., Hanasaki N., Hickler T., Huber V., Ito A., Jägermeyr J., Khabarov N., Koutroulis A., Liu W., Lutz W., Mengel M., Müller C., Ostberg S., Reyer C., Stacke T., Wada Y. Intergenerational inequities in exposure to climate extremes. Science. 2021; science.org/doi/epdf/10.1126/

Satoh, Y., Shiogama, H., Hanasaki, N., Pokhrel, Y.N., Boulange, J.E.S., Burek, P., Gosling, S.N., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A.G., Schmied, H.M. and Thiery, W., 2021. A quantitative evaluation of the issue of drought definition: A source of disagreement in future drought assessments. Environmental Research Letters.

Tsanis IK, Seiradakis KD, Sarchani S, Panagea IS, Alexakis DD, Koutroulis AG. The Impact of Soil-Improving Cropping Practices on Erosion Rates: A Stakeholder-Oriented Field Experiment Assessment. Land. 2021; 10(9):964. https://doi.org/10.3390/land10090964

Fernandez-Anez, N., Krasovskiy, A., Müller, M., Vacik, H., Baetens, J., Hukić, E., Kapovic Solomun, M., Atanassova, I., Glushkova, M., Bogunović, I. and Fajković, H., 2021. Current Wildland Fire Patterns and Challenges in Europe: A Synthesis of National Perspectives. Air, Soil and Water Research, 14, p.11786221211028185.

Telteu, C.-E., Müller Schmied, H., Thiery, W., Leng, G., Burek, P., Liu, X., Boulange, J. E. S., Andersen, L. S., Grillakis, M., Gosling, S. N., Satoh, Y., Rakovec, O., Stacke, T., Chang, J., Wanders, N., Shah, H. L., Trautmann, T., Mao, G., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Samaniego, L., Wada, Y., Mishra, V., Liu, J., Döll, P., Zhao, F., Gädeke, A., Rabin, S. S., and Herz, F.: Understanding each other’s models: an introduction and a standard representation of 16 global water models to support intercomparison, improvement, and communication, Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 3843–3878, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3843-2021, 2021.

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Alexakis, D.D., Polykretis, C. and Daliakopoulos, I.N., 2021. Regionalizing Root‐Zone Soil Moisture Estimates From ESA CCI Soil Water Index Using Machine Learning and Information on Soil, Vegetation, and Climate. Water Resources Research, 57(5), p.e2020WR029249.

Gudmundsson L., H. X. Do, Simon N. Gosling, M. G. Grillakis, A. G. Koutroulis, M. Leonard, J. Lui, H. M. Schmied, L. Papadimitriou, Y. Pokhrel, J. Schewe, S. I. Seneviratne, W. Thiery, S. Westra, X. Zhang, F. Zhao. (2021). Globally observed trends in mean and extreme river flow attributed to climate change. Science Vol. 371, 6534, pp. 1159-1162, doi:10.1126/science.aba3996.

Pokhrel, Y., Felfelani, F., Satoh, Y., Boulange, J., Burek, P., Gädeke, A., Gerten, D., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Gudmundsson, L., Hanasaki, N., Kim, H., Koutroulis, A., Liu, J., Papadimitriou, L., Schewe, J., Müller Schmied, H., Stacke, T., Telteu, C. E., Thiery, W., Veldkamp, T., Zhao, F., Wada, Y., Global Terrestrial Water Storage and Drought Severity under Climate Change, Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-020-00972-w

Reinecke, R., Müller Schmied, H., Trautmann, T., Burek, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Seaby, L., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Yusuke, S., and Döll, P.: Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble study, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-787-2021, 2021.

Lange, S., Volkholz, J., Geiger, T., Zhao, F., Vega, I., Veldkamp, T., Reyer, C.P., Warszawski, L., Huber, V., Jägermeyr, J. and Schewe, J., et al. 2020. Projecting exposure to extreme climate impact events across six event categories and three spatial scales. Earth’s Future, 8(12), p.e2020EF001616.

Gädeke A, Krysanova V, Aryal A, Chang J, Grillakis M, Hanasaki N, Koutroulis A, Pokhrel Y, Satoh Y, Schaphoff S, Schmied HM. Performance evaluation of global hydrological models in six large Pan-Arctic watersheds. Climatic Change 163, 1329–1351 (2020). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-020-02892-2.

Grillakis, M. G., Polykretis, C., & Alexakis, D. D. (2020). Past and projected climate change impacts on rainfall erosivity: Advancing our knowledge for the eastern Mediterranean island of Crete. CATENA, 193, 104625.

Ruman, S., Tichavský, R., Šilhán, K., & Grillakis, M. G. (2020). Palaeoflood discharge estimation using dendrogeomorphic methods, rainfall-runoff and hydraulic modelling—a case study from southern Crete. Natural Hazards, 1–22.

Tramblay, Y., Koutroulis, A., Samaniego, L., Vicente-Serrano, S. M., Volaire, F., Boone, A., Le Page, M., Llasat, M. C., Albergel, C., Burak, S., Cailleret, M., Kalin, K. C., Davi, H., Dupuy, J. L., Greve, P., Grillakis, M., Hanich, L., Jarlan, L., Martin-StPaul, N., … Polcher, J. (2020). Challenges for drought assessment in the Mediterranean region under future climate scenarios.  Earth-Science Reviews, p.103348.

Reinecke, R., Müller Schmied, H., Trautmann, T., Burek, P., Flörke, M., Gosling, S. N., Grillakis, M., Hanasaki, N., Koutroulis, A., Pokhrel, Y., Seaby, L., Thiery, W., Wada, Y., Yusuke, S., and Döll, P.: Uncertainty of simulated groundwater recharge at different global warming levels: A global-scale multi-model ensemble study, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., in review, 2020.

Grillakis, M. G., Polykretis, C., Manoudakis, S., Seiradakis, K. D., & Alexakis, D. D. (2020). A Quantile Mapping Method to Fill in Discontinued Daily Precipitation Time Series. Water, 12(8), 2304.

Polykretis, C., Alexakis, D. D., Grillakis, M. G., & Manoudakis, S. (2020). Assessment of Intra-Annual and Inter-Annual Variabilities of Soil Erosion in Crete Island (Greece) by Incorporating the Dynamic “Nature” of R and C-Factors in RUSLE Modeling. Remote Sensing, 12(15), 2439.

Polykretis, C., Grillakis, M. G., & Alexakis, D. D. (2020). Exploring the Impact of Various Spectral Indices on Land Cover Change Detection Using Change Vector Analysis: A Case Study of Crete Island, Greece. Remote Sensing, 12(2), 319.

Tichavský, R., Koutroulis, A., Chalupová, O., Chalupa, V. and Šilhán, K., 2020. Flash flood reconstruction in the Eastern Mediterranean: Regional tree ring-based chronology and assessment of climate triggers on the island of Crete. Journal of Arid Environments, 177, p.104135.

Koutroulis, A.G., Papadimitriou, L.V., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Warren, R. and Betts, R.A., 2019. Global water availability under high-end climate change: A vulnerability based assessment. Global and Planetary Change, 175, pp.52-63.

Grillakis, M.G., 2019. Increase in severe and extreme soil moisture droughts for Europe under climate change. Science of the Total Environment, 660, pp.1245-1255.

Koutroulis, A. G. “Dryland changes under different levels of global warming.” Science of The Total Environmen 2019, doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.11.215

Bischiniotis, K., van den Hurk, B., Zsoter, E., Coughlan de Perez, E., Grillakis, M., & Aerts, J. C. J. H. (2019). Evaluation of a global ensemble flood prediction system in Peru. Hydrological Sciences Journal, 1–19.

Hunink, J., Simons, G., Suárez-Almiñana, S., Solera, A., Andreu, J., Giuliani, M., Zamberletti, P., Grillakis, M., Koutroulis, A., Tsanis, I., Schasfoort, F., Contreras, S., Ercin, E., & Bastiaanssen, W. (2019). A Simplified Water Accounting Procedure to Assess Climate Change Impact on Water Resources for Agriculture across Different European River Basins. Water, 11(10), 1976.

Nerantzaki, S.D.,  Efstathiou, D,  Giannakis, G.V.,  Kritsotakis, M.,  Grillakis, M.G.,  Koutroulis, A.G.,  Tsanis, I.K.,  Nikolaidis, N.P. “Climate change impact on the hydrological budget of a large Mediterranean island”. Hydrological Sciences Journal. 64 (10), 2019, pp. 1190-1203

Shannon, S., Smith, R., Wiltshire, A., Payne, T., Huss, M., Betts, R., Caesar, J., Koutroulis, A., Jones, D., and Harrison, S.: Global glacier volume projections under high-end climate change scenarios, The Cryosphere, 13, 325-350, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-13-325-2019, 2019.

Grillakis, M.; Koutroulis, A.; Tsanis, I. Improving Seasonal Forecasts for Basin Scale Hydrological Applications. Water 2018, 10, 1593. doi.org/10.3390/w10111593

Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K. and Daniela, J. Mapping the vulnerability of European summer tourism under 2 °C global warming. Climatic Change, 2018. doi.org/10.1007/s10584-018-2298-8

Koutroulis, A.G.; Papadimitriou, L.V.; Grillakis, M.G.; Tsanis, I.K.; Wyser, K.; Caesar, J.; Betts, R.A. Simulating Hydrological Impacts under Climate Change: Implications from Methodological Differences of a Pan European Assessment. Water 2018, 10, 1331, doi.org/10.3390/w10101331

Betts, R.A., Alfieri, L., Bradshaw, C., Caesar, J., Feyen, L., Friedlingstein, P., Gohar, L., Koutroulis, A., Lewis, K., Morfopoulos, C., Papadimitriou, L., Richardson, K.J., Tsanis, I., Wyser, K., 2018. Changes in climate extremes, fresh water availability and vulnerability to food insecurity projected at 1.5°C and 2°C global warming with a higher-resolution global climate model. Philos. Trans. R. Soc. A Math. Phys. Eng. Sci. 376. https://doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2016.0452

Jacob, D., Kotova, L., Teichmann, C., Sobolowski, S.P., Vautard, R., Donnelly, C., Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Damm, A., Sakalli, A., van Vliet, M.T.H., 2018. Climate Impacts in Europe Under +1.5°C Global Warming. Earth’s Futur. https://doi.org/10.1002/2017EF000710

Koutroulis, A.G., Papadimitriou, L.V., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Wyser, K., Betts, R.A., 2018. Freshwater vulnerability under high end climate change. A pan-European assessment. Sci. Total Environ. 613–614, 271–286. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.09.074

Daliakopoulos, I.N., Panagea, I.S., Tsanis, I.K., Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Hessel, R., Mayor, A.G., Ritsema, C.J., 2017. Yield Response of Mediterranean Rangelands under a Changing Climate. L. Degrad. Dev. 28, 1962–1972. https://doi.org/10.1002/ldr.2717

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Tsanis, I.K., 2017. A method to preserve trends in quantile mapping bias correction of climate modeled temperature. Earth Syst. Dyn. 8, 889–900. https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-8-889-2017

Papadimitriou, L. V., Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2017. The effect of GCM biases on global runoff simulations of a land surface model. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 21, 4379–4401. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-4379-2017

Berry, P., Sánchez-Arcilla Conejo, A., Betts, R., Harrison, P.A., 2017. High-end climate change in Europe: impacts, vulnerability and adaptation.

Daliakopoulos, I.N., Tsanis, I.K., Koutroulis, A., Kourgialas, N.N., Varouchakis, A.E., Karatzas, G.P., Ritsema, C.J., 2016. The threat of soil salinity: A European scale review. Sci. Total Environ. 573. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2016.08.177

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Komma, J., Tsanis, I.K., Wagner, W., Blöschl, G., 2016. Initial soil moisture effects on flash flood generation – A comparison between basins of contrasting hydro-climatic conditions. J. Hydrol. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.03.007

Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Papadimitriou, L., 2016. Evaluation of precipitation and temperature simulation performance of the CMIP3 and CMIP5 historical experiments. Clim. Dyn. 47. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2938-x

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2016. The 2 °C global warming effect on summer European tourism through different indices. Int. J. Biometeorol. 60. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00484-015-1115-6

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Papadimitriou, L. V., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Tsanis, I.K., 2016. Climate-Induced Shifts in Global Soil Temperature Regimes. Soil Sci. 181, 264–272. https://doi.org/10.1097/SS.0000000000000156

Iordanidou, V., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2016. Investigating the relationship of lightning activity and rainfall: A case study for Crete Island. Atmos. Res. 172–173. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2015.12.021

Papadimitriou, L.V., Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2016. High-end climate change impact on European runoff and low flows – Exploring the effects of forcing biases. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. 20. https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-1785-2016

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Seiradakis, K.D., Tsanis, I.K., 2016. Implications of 2 °C global warming in European summer tourism. Clim. Serv. 1. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2016.01.002

Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Tsanis, I.K., Jacob, D., 2016. Cross sectoral impacts on water availability at +2°C and +3°C for east Mediterranean island states: The case of Crete. J. Hydrol. 532. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2015.11.015

Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Jacob, D., 2015. Exploring the ability of current climate information to facilitate local climate services for the water sector. Earth Perspect. 2, 6. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40322-015-0032-5

Jannes Stolte, Mehreteab Tesfai, Lillian Øygarden, Sigrun Kværnø, Jacob Keizer, Frank Verheijen, Panos Panagos, Cristiano Ballabio, Rudi Hessel ; Soil threats in Europe; EUR 27607 EN; doi:10.2788/488054 (print); doi:10.2788/828742 (online)

Iordanidou, V., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2015. Mediterranean cyclone characteristics related to precipitation occurrence in Crete, Greece. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 15. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1807-2015

Alexakis, D.D., Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Agapiou, A., Themistocleous, K., Tsanis, I.K., Michaelides, S., Pashiardis, S., Demetriou, C., Aristeidou, K., Retalis, A., Tymvios, F., Hadjimitsis, D.G., 2014. GIS and remote sensing techniques for the assessment of land use change impact on flood hydrology: the case study of Yialias basin in Cyprus. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 14, 413–426. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-413-2014

Iordanidou, V., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2014. A probabilistic rain diagnostic model based on cyclone statistical analysis. Adv. Meteorol. 2014. https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/498020

Panagea, I.S., Tsanis, I.K., Koutroulis, A.G., Grillakis, M.G., 2014. Climate change impact on photovoltaic energy output: The case of Greece. Adv. Meteorol. 2014. https://doi.org/10.1155/2014/264506

Tsanis, I.K., Seiradakis, K.D., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., 2014. Assessment of GeoEye-1 stereo-pair-generated DEM in flood mapping of an ungauged basin. J. Hydroinformatics 16. https://doi.org/10.2166/hydro.2013.197

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2013. Multisegment statistical bias correction of daily GCM precipitation output. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos. 118. https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrd.50323

Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Jacob, D., 2013. Impact of climate change on water resources status: A case study for Crete Island, Greece. J. Hydrol. 479, 146–158. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.11.055

Vrochidou, A.-E.K., Tsanis, I.K., Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., 2013. The impact of climate change on hydrometeorological droughts at a basin scale. J. Hydrol. 476, 290–301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.10.046

Vrochidou, A.-E.K., Tsanis, I.K., Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., 2013. The impact of climate change on hydrometeorological droughts at a basin scale. J. Hydrol. 476, 290–301. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.10.046

Grillakis, M.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2011. Climate change impact on the hydrology of Spencer Creek watershed in Southern Ontario, Canada. J. Hydrol. 409. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.06.018

Tsanis, I.K., Koutroulis, A.G., Daliakopoulos, I.N., Jacob, D., 2011. Severe climate-induced water shortage and extremes in Crete. Clim. Change 106, 667–677. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-011-0048-2

Koutroulis, A.G., Vrohidou, A.-E.K., Tsanis, I.K., 2011. Spatiotemporal Characteristics of Meteorological Drought for the Island of Crete. J. Hydrometeorol. 12, 206–226. https://doi.org/10.1175/2010JHM1252.1

Grillakis, M.G., Tsanis, I.K., Koutroulis, A.G., 2010. Application of the HBV hydrological model in a flash flood case in Slovenia. Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. 10, 2713–2725. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-10-2713-2010

Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., Daliakopoulos, I.N., 2010. Seasonality of floods and their hydrometeorologic characteristics in the island of Crete. J. Hydrol. 394, 90–100. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.04.025

Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2010. A method for estimating flash flood peak discharge in a poorly gauged basin: Case study for the 13–14 January 1994 flood, Giofiros basin, Crete, Greece. J. Hydrol. 385, 150–164. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2010.02.012

Gaume, E., Bain, V., Bernardara, P., Newinger, O., Barbuc, M., Bateman, A., Blaškovičová, L., Blöschl, G., Borga, M., Dumitrescu, A., Daliakopoulos, I., Garcia, J., Irimescu, A., Kohnova, S., Koutroulis, A., Marchi, L., Matreata, S., Medina, V., Preciso, E., Sempere-Torres, D., Stancalie, G., Szolgay, J., Tsanis, I., Velasco, D., Viglione, A., 2009. A compilation of data on European flash floods. J. Hydrol. 367, 70–78. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2008.12.028

Daliakopoulos, I.N., Grillakis, E.G., Koutroulis, A.G., Tsanis, I.K., 2009. Tree Crown Detection on Multispectral VHR Satellite Imagery. Photogramm. Eng. Remote Sens. 75, 1201–1211. https://doi.org/10.14358/PERS.75.10.1201